Design for Future Climate: NW Bicester Eco Town


The NW Bicester Eco Development is planned to deliver 5000 homes over the next 25 years. The £100m first phase development of around 400 homes will also provide a primary school, business innovation centre, community centre and general retail/convenience store.


The aim of this project is to develop a set of tested adaptation packages (depending on home typology) that will mitigate projected future climate change risks and ensure the sustainable standard of the eco town development. The aims to meet this goal involve:

  • Establish the extent of climate change impact and risk for the development and particular homes being tested.
  • Minimise the risk and negative impacts of climate change via adaptations that have been proven to be effective through simulation and empirical research.


A risk-based assessment was conducted to evaluate potential climate change hazards and impacts drawing from the probabilistic UK Climate Projections 2009 (UKCP09). Based on the assessment, climate change adaptation packages for comfort were developed by conducting the following steps:

  1. Adaptation measures for comfort mentioned in Design for Future Climate report (Gething 2010) were considered.
  2. The adaptation measures which are applicable for NW Bicester development were selected.
  3. To test the performance of these adaptation measures, detailed house level energy models were built in the building thermal simulation package IES.
  4. The performance of individual measures was tested on the worst case, south-facing end-terraced house.
  5. Three packages which are the combinations of the most effective individual adaptation measures were proposed for NW Bicester development. The performance of three adaptation packages were tested on the worst case house type under current, 2030s, 2050s and 2080s’ climate.
  6. The three adaptation packages were then tested on other house types in NW Bicester development and the timeline of application of adaptation packages were summarised.
  7. Adaptation measures for construction and water were given at the end based on empirical experience.


The research provides adaptation packages that are found to be technically effective in responding to the negative impacts of climate change and that might further reduce the risk of on-going climate change.



Research Reports:

  • Gupta, R. and Gregg, M., 2011. Future climate changes projections for NW Bicester: Climate changes hazards and impacts. Submitted to Hyder Consulting, London
    Dated: April 2011
  • Gupta, R. and Du, H., 2012. Overheating metrics and base IES model report 2 - NW Bicester Eco Town. Submitted to Hyder Consulting, London
    Dated: May 2012
  • Gupta, R. , Du, H. and Gregg, M., 2012. Climate change adaptation report - NW Bicester Eco Town. Submitted to Hyder Consulting, London
    Dated: July 2012


Workshops & Conferences:

  • Design for Future Climate Showcase Conference 2012 at London, UK
    Dated: June 2012


Low Carbon Building Group

Oxford Brookes University
Headington Campus
Gipsy Lane
Oxford, OX3 0BP